2006/05/03

U.S.A., U.N., and the world

We are in 2006. So, the Nineteen Nineties were in the last century. Let's review: India and Pakistan, their national governments having never signed the Nuclear Proliferation Treaty, exploded underground nuclear bombs. North Korea, having signed the NPT, withdrew from the treaty, announced the possession of nuclear bombs and demostrated the capability to shoot missile over the east coast of Japan. Rwanda, composed of two African ethnic groups, experienced a genocide where one group, the Hutu massacred systemically the other group, the Tutsi; United Nations peacekeepers in Rwanda did not intervene to stop the massacre or genocide. Yugoslavia, the Federal Republics of Serbia and Montenegro, caused an "internal displacement" of migrants and refugees out of the Serbia province of Kosovo; NATO ordered fighter airplanes to bomb Yugoslavia. Finally, multiple United Nations Security Council resolutions failed to uncover the fact that Iraq did not have any weapons of mass destruction by the late 1990s. Fast forward to 2006. There are changes of governments in Yugoslavia, Afghanistan and Iraq after their attack by western coalition armed forces. India and Pakistan have friendlier relations with each other and with America. The U.S., China, Russia, Japan and Republic of Korea have engaged North Korea in the hopes of denuclearizing North Korea. The new cases are Iran and Sudan. Iran, having signed the NPT, announced ongoing enrichment of uranium and refused NPT monitors sent by United Nations International Atomic Energy Commission. The U.S., Russia, U.K., France and Germany have engaged Iran in the hopes of stopping Iranian enrichment of uranium. Sudan is causing an "internal displacement" of migrants and refugees out of Darfur province; actor George Clooney called the Darfur crisis the first genocide in the Twenty-First Century. I don't know what's going to happen. Compared to North Korea, Iran is richer in agriculture and fossil fuel. There is no famine in Iran. In fact, Iran learned lessons from North Korean President Kim's negotiations with the Clinton government of the U.S. So much so, the Bush government has not managed to isolate Iran from the world. Compared to Yugoslavia, Sudan is an African country in the Sahara Desert with multiple African and Arab ethnic and religious groups. There is fossil fuel in Sudan and there is a civil war. Remember United Nations history: In the Cold War, the U.S. and U.S.S.R. vetoed each other's Security Council resolutions all the time. How many times did Iraq refuse to comply with Security Council resolutions before coalition armed forces invaded Iraq? However, remember Yugoslavia. NATO bombed Serbia without any U.N. approval. So, how will the situations in Iran and Sudan resolve? Regarding Iran: Will it be stalemate and another "cold war"? Will coalition armed forces bomb and destroy Iranian nuclear research facilities? Will Iran desist? Regarding Sudan: Will there be a peace treaty on Darfur? Will internal displacement and killing continue? Will coalition armed forces fight and disarm Sudanese-sponsored militia in Darfur? Will the western world accept more refugees from Sudan? Only time will tell.

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